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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025

Eisen picked the Bills to win the AFC East and to reach AFC championship weekend or further.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I do see the Bills as an AFC championship weekend team, if not beyond.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Desmond Howard Rips Arch Manning, AFC East Predictions & actor Dylan O’Brien
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Buffalo Bills to win the division“My one more on that top five list was everybody in the AFC East, not the Buffalo Bills... I do see the Bills as an AFC championship weekend team, if not beyond.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs“And I I do see the Bills as an AFC championship weekend team, if not beyond.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Buffalo Bills to win the division1Division Winners—000
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1001000
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled5050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Playoff PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 50

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.