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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025

Rich Eisen picked the Lions to win the NFC North and the NFC conference title, with the Packers second, the Vikings third with double-digit wins and a playoff berth, and the Bears fourth.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 4 misses · all settled
22Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
13A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I have the Lions winning the conference.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2: Spike Lee’s Celebrity True or False, plus NFC North Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl“I have the Lions winning the conference. Oh. I have I am way higher on the Lions than everyone else.”
  2. 2Detroit Lions to win the division“And I got the Lions finishing first, and that's our NFC North breakdown”
  3. 3Power Rankings“that's where I'm putting the Vikings... And I have the Packers too, and I have the Lions one... And I like the Bears as well, to finish fourth.”
  4. 4Minnesota Vikings to finish with 10 wins“you can have a team that has double digit wins in third place, and that's where I'm putting the Vikings”
  5. 5Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs“and that's where I'm putting the Vikings. I do believe they make the playoffs.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Detroit Lions to win the division2Division Winners—000
“that's where I'm putting the Vikings... And I have the Packers…”3Power Rankings—3010+40
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 10 wins4Season Win Totals98055+50
Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs5Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs000
5 calls · 1 hit · 4 misses · all settled2213

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 22 out of 100, against 13 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DET
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Power Rankings

    “that's where I'm putting the Vikings... And I have the Packers too, and I have the Lions one... And I like the Bears as well, to finish fourth.”

    VerdictMiss
    30Miss · naive 10
    30this call10a naive guess20better than naive2difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    30
    baseline:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Season Win TotalsMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 10 wins

    What happened9called 10
    80Hit · naive 55
    80this call55a naive guess25better than naive2difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    naive:
    11.25
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    9
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    55
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Playoff PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    22naive 13

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.