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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025

Rich Eisen delivered their Week 1 NFL power rankings, a top 10 running from the Broncos at No. 10 up to the Eagles at No. 1.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · all settled
40.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
41.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But that's my week one NFL power rankings.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1: Week 1 NFL Power Rankings, Comedian Bill Burr Fires Up the Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“We have an opportunity if the Eagles win, only the second time in the National Football League to the back to back back to back champs.”
  2. 2Power Rankings“Number 10... I'm putting the Broncos number 10... Number nine. I'm putting the Los Angeles chargers here... Number eight, I'm putting their co tenants, the Los Angeles Rams... Number seven on the list are the Washington Commanders... Number six, I am putting the Green Bay Packers... a power rankings with the Lions fifth... Fourth, the Buffalo Bills... Well, the Ravens are three... Chiefs two... They put Dallas at one rich? ... They're defending champs.”
  3. 3Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart“All he would allow is that Hampton's gonna start. Oh. And if that's the case, by the way, it's the first time in Najee Harris' career in which he won't start.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
“Number 10... I'm putting the Broncos number 10... Number nine.…”2Power Rankings—30.324.24+12.12
Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.67100−16.67
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · all settled40.741.4

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 40.7 out of 100, against 41.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “Number 10... I'm putting the Broncos number 10... Number nine. I'm putting the Los Angeles chargers here... Number eight, I'm putting their co tenants, the Los Angeles Rams... Number seven on the list are the Washington Commanders... Number six, I am putting the Green Bay Packers... a power rankings with the Lions fifth... Fourth, the Buffalo Bills... Well, the Ravens are three... Chiefs two... They put Dallas at one rich? ... They're defending champs.”

    VerdictMiss
    30.3Miss · naive 24.24
    30.3this call24.24a naive guess6.06better than naive2difficulty+12.12skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    12.12
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    30.3
    baseline:
    24.24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsOmarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 100
    91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive2difficulty−16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    LAC
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    40.7naive 41.4

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.