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Rich Eisen· Aug 29, 2025

Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.

“I still think this is a Chiefs, though I don't think they're going fifteen and two again.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 player season number and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 14.1 out of 100, against 5.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Division WinnersKansas City ChiefsAug 29, 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    “Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Conference ChampionsMinnesota VikingsAug 29, 2025

    Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl

    “Which means I think the Vikings are a Super Bowl contender.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Player Season NumbersMicah ParsonsGreen Bay PackersAug 29, 2025

    Micah Parsons to record 16 sacks

    “Mike has 16 maybe.”

    Close · 56Scored 56.25a naive guess scored 21.91+68.67 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    7.62
    skill:
    68.67
    what happened:
    12.5
    player:
    Micah Parsons
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    56.25
    baseline:
    21.91
    predicted:
    16
    statistic:
    sacks
    difficulty:
    2
    last season:
    12
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    position average:
    3.24
    zero at percent out:
    50

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 29, 2025

    “Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second... And and Denver, I I I, you know, I'm excited.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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