Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 29, 2025

Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 4calls landed1 close call · 3 misses · all settled

14.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

5.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 4Settlednone still waiting

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I still think this is a Chiefs, though I don't think they're going fifteen and two again.

Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode: AFC West Predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 29, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

1Kansas City Chiefs to win the division“Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second.”
2Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl“Which means I think the Vikings are a Super Bowl contender.”
3Micah Parsons to record 16 sacks“Mike has 16 maybe.”
4Power Rankings“Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second... And and Denver, I I I, you know, I'm excited.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division¹	Division Winners	—	0	0	0
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl²	Conference Champions	NE and SEA won	0	0	0
Micah Parsons to record 16 sacks³	Player Season Numbers	12.5	56.25	21.91	+68.67
“Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges…”⁴	Power Rankings	—	0	0	0
4 calls · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled			14.1	5.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 player season number and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 14.1 out of 100, against 5.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Division Winners Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
2Conference Champions Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked MIN
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
3Player Season Numbers Micah Parsons Green Bay Packers
Micah Parsons to record 16 sacks
What happened12.5called 16
56.25Close · naive 21.91
56.25this call21.91a naive guess34.34better than naive2difficulty+68.67skill
How this was scored
naive:
7.62
skill:
68.67
what happened:
12.5
player:
Micah Parsons
season:
2025
accuracy:
56.25
baseline:
21.91
they said:
16
statistic:
sacks
difficulty:
2
last season:
12
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
4Power Rankings
“Chiefs winning the division. I have Harbaugh on the charges finishing second... And and Denver, I I I, you know, I'm excited.”
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
14.1naive 5.5

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Brockman · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.