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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 23, 2026

Pelissero said the Giants' upcoming schedule (home vs. Tennessee, Washington, home vs. Arizona) offers three winnable games even with a backup quarterback, and that Washington's Jayden Daniels likely won't be back for that stretch. They also expect the winless Commanders to fall to 0-3 against Seattle.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 4 waiting
62.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
87.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Those are three winnable types of games.
Tom Pelissero, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Hour 2: NFL Week 3 Power Rankings, plus The Ringer’s NFL Insider Tom Pelissero
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 23
  2. PlayedSep 27–Oct 11
  3. GradedSep 28–Oct 11
  1. 1New York Giants to beat Washington“I believe, they've got a game against Washington... Those are three winnable types of games.”
  2. 2New York Giants to beat Arizona“they've got a game against, yeah, Arizona's also a home game... Those are three winnable types of games.”
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks to beat commanders“The commander's problem is they're o and two, and they've got the Seahawks on Sunday. That that looks like o and three unless Marcus Mariota plays at an exceptional level.”
  4. 4New York Giants to beat Tennessee“They got Tennessee at home... Those are three winnable types of games... These are games you should be able to win, even with a backup quarterback here.”
  5. 5Availability Calls“He I don't anticipate he's gonna play this week. I would think that this is at least three to four weeks for Jaden Daniels.”
  6. 6Availability Calls“Kyler's back this week.”
  7. 7Availability Calls“even though it's unlikely that he plays Monday night, they haven't ruled him out for that game against the Eagles”
  8. 8Availability Calls“Arizona's also a home game. Jaden Daniels probably not back at that point.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Giants to beat Washington1Game Outcome PicksTied 27–2750500
New York Giants to beat Arizona2Game Outcome PicksGiants 36–241001000
Seattle Seahawks to beat commanders3Game Outcome PicksCommanders 33–310100−189
New York Giants to beat Tennessee4Game Outcome PicksGiants 12–71001000
“He I don't anticipate he's gonna play this week. I would think…”5Availability Calls————
“Kyler's back this week.”6Availability Calls————
“even though it's unlikely that he plays Monday night, they…”7Availability Calls————
“Arizona's also a home game. Jaden Daniels probably not back at…”8Availability Calls————
8 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 4 waiting62.587.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 4 availability calls and 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 87.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Washington

    What happenedTied 27–27Giants at Commanders
    50Close · naive 50
    50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    tie
    score:
    27-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Arizona

    What happenedGiants 36–24Cardinals at Giants
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    24-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat commanders

    What happenedCommanders 33–31Seahawks at Commanders
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (77%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    31-33
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Tennessee

    What happenedGiants 12–7Titans at Giants
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Giants by 2.5 · favorite pick, Giants 54%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    7-12
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Availability CallsJayden DanielsWashington Commanders

    “He I don't anticipate he's gonna play this week. I would think that this is at least three to four weeks for Jaden Daniels.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Availability CallsKyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    “Kyler's back this week.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  7. 7Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    “even though it's unlikely that he plays Monday night, they haven't ruled him out for that game against the Eagles”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  8. 8Availability CallsJayden DanielsWashington Commanders

    “Arizona's also a home game. Jaden Daniels probably not back at that point.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    62.5naive 87.5

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