Tyler Sullivan Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 3

Oct 15, 2026

Sullivan floats Week 6 outcomes they wouldn't be shocked by: MarShawn Lloyd running for 100 yards against Dallas, the Giants beating the Saints while the Cowboys and Eagles both lose to grow New York's NFC East lead to 2.5 games, Tennessee finally winning against the Colts, and Pittsburgh losing in Tampa Bay.Game Outcome Picks · 5 calls

3 hits · 2 misses · 3 of 5 graded calls landed

Show the 5 graded calls

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Steelers
“Steelers score less than 20 points in loss to Bucs ... Those factors put Pittsburgh firmly on upset alert”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
26-19
skill:
0
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 44%.
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Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
“Dallas is heading into Lambeau Field as an underdog against the Packers ... by the end of the weekend, we could see both the Cowboys and Eagles dropping to 2-4”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
13-23
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%.
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Carolina Panthers to beat Eagles
“the Eagles are coming back from London and hosting a Panthers team that was just on the bye ... we could see both the Cowboys and Eagles dropping to 2-4”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
How this was scored
won:
CAR
score:
25-14
skill:
172
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 59%.
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New York Giants to beat Saints
“if New York can take care of business against New Orleans, it'd rather remarkably be 4-1-1 and have a growing lead in the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
34-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYG
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%).
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Tennessee Titans to beat Colts
“it won't shock me if Tennessee finally gets into the win column this weekend ... it's more of a play against their opponent, the Indianapolis Colts”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
How this was scored
won:
TEN
score:
26-20
skill:
172
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans 28%.
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Oct 14, 2026

Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 6 game, calling for underdog wins by the Panthers in Philadelphia and the Buccaneers at home over the Steelers, plus a Patriots blowout of the Jets.Score Predictions · 15 calls

5 hits · 6 close calls · 3 misses · 1 waiting · 5 of 14 graded calls landed

Show the 14 graded calls

New York Giants 26 — Saints 20
“Projected score: Giants 26, Saints 20”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 33.33+24.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-27
skill:
24.57
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
33.33
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 18): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 26–20 calls a Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (46).
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Chicago Bears 27 — Falcons 23
“Projected score: Bears 27, Falcons 23”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 30.95+102.38 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-23
skill:
102.38
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
30.95
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and fewer points (50).
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Kansas City Chiefs 33 — Chargers 17
“Projected score: Chiefs 33, Chargers 17”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 62.27+64.9 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-22
skill:
64.9
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
62.27
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
16
Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 33–17 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 16) and more points (50).
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Buffalo Bills 30 — Raiders 21
“Projected score: Bills 30, Raiders 21”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 43.22+73.09 skill
How this was scored
score:
33-30
skill:
73.09
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
43.22
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5, total 53.5 · this 30–21 calls a bigger Bills win (by 9) and fewer points (51).
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Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Texans 24
“Texans at Jaguars (in London) Projected score: Jaguars 28, Texans 24”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 42.86+8.19 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
8.19
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 4) and more points (52).
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San Francisco 49ers 30 — Commanders 20
“Commanders at 49ers (Monday) Projected score: 49ers 30, Commanders 20”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 86.23+7.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-23
skill:
7.31
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
86.23
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.22
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5, total 51.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and fewer points (50).
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New England Patriots 30 — Jets 17
“Projected score: Patriots 30, Jets 17”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 83.33+4.1 skill
How this was scored
score:
19-26
skill:
4.1
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
83.33
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5, total 43.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 13) and more points (47).
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Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 19
“Seahawks at Broncos (Thursday) Projected score: Seahawks 24, Broncos 19”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 93.6-83.18 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-17
skill:
−83.18
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
93.6
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.31
predicted margin:
5
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 24–19 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 5) and more points (43).
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 — Steelers 23
“Projected score: Buccaneers 24, Steelers 23”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 33.7+3.47 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-19
skill:
3.47
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
33.7
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–23 calls a Buccaneers win (by 1; the line gave the Buccaneers 44%) and more points (47).
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Los Angeles Rams 30 — Cardinals 17
“Projected score: Rams 30, Cardinals 17”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 45.6-37.48 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-16
skill:
−37.48
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
45.6
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5, total 51.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger Rams win (by 13) and fewer points (47).
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Dallas Cowboys 27 — Packers 24
“Projected score: Cowboys 27, Packers 24”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 76.55-74.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-23
skill:
−74.34
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
76.55
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 27–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 3) and fewer points (51).
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Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 20
“Projected score: Colts 24, Titans 20”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 35.71+16.38 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-20
skill:
16.38
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
35.71
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Colts by 4) and more points (44).
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Baltimore Ravens 26 — Browns 20
“Projected score: Ravens 26, Browns 20”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 92.86-86 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-13
skill:
−86
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
92.86
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3, total 39.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 6) and more points (46).
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Carolina Panthers 23 — Eagles 21
“Projected score: Panthers 23, Eagles 21”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 23.81+94.19 skill
How this was scored
score:
25-14
skill:
94.19
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
23.81
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Panthers by 2) and more points (44).
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Oct 8, 2026

Sullivan picks the Bears to beat the Packers in their NFC North matchup, leaning on Chicago's league-leading rushing attack against a Green Bay run defense that has struggled. They also give score predictions for several other Week 5 games: Lions over Cardinals, Vikings over Saints, Texans over Titans and Bengals over Dolphins.Score Predictions, Game Outcome Picks · 5 calls

2 hits · 2 close calls · 1 miss · 2 of 5 graded calls landed

Show the 5 graded calls

Minnesota Vikings 23 — Saints 20
“Vikings 23, Saints 20”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 28.28+97.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
97.99
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and more points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 33 — Cardinals 30
“Lions 33, Cardinals 30”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+89 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
89
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 33–30 calls a closer game (Lions by 3) and more points (63).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
“That's why Sullivan has the Bears winning and covering.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
7-31
skill:
−178
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 27 — Titans 17
“Texans 27, Titans 17”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 0+122.9 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
122.9
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
69.05
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Texans win (by 10) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Dolphins 16
“Bengals 27, Dolphins 16”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 35.42+97.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
97.99
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 11) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?

Tyler Sullivan

Every graded call, continued · page 3