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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2026

Sullivan expects Jacksonville to blow out the Eagles in London, dropping Philadelphia below.500, and they also see San Francisco winning at Seattle. They additionally project Jacoby Brissett to throw for 350 yards against Detroit's struggling defense.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
In my eyes, this has the makings of a Jags blowout win .
Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
It wouldn't shock me IF ... NFL Week 5: Nick Sirianni's seat heats up, Sean Payton takes back playcalling
The original
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  1. SaidOct 8
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 11–12
  1. 1San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle Seahawks“It wouldn't shock me in the slightest to see the Niners leaving Lumen Field with a victory”
  2. 2Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Philadelphia Eagles“And that brings us to this weekend, when Philadelphia will be in London taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars. In my eyes, this has the makings of a Jags blowout win .”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle Seahawks1Game Outcome Picks49ers 32–291000+178
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Philadelphia Eagles2Game Outcome PicksJaguars 19–171001000
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle Seahawks

    What happened49ers 32–2949ers at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.78difficulty+178skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, 49ers 40%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    178
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    What happenedJaguars 19–17Eagles at Jaguars
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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