Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2026

Sullivan predicted the Patriots to cruise past the Jets 30-17, the Buccaneers to upset the Steelers 24-23, and the Colts to beat the Titans by a narrow 24-20 margin.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled

55.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

50.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think the Patriots are all the way back.

Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: NFL Week 6 odds, predictions, expert picks: Cowboys roll into Lambeau Field to face Packers
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 16
PlayedOct 18
GradedOct 18–19

1Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 — Steelers 23“Tyler Sullivan on why he likes Tampa Bay to pull off the upset, 24-23.”
2New England Patriots 30 — Jets 17“Tyler Sullivan on why he likes New England to cruise past the Jets, 30-17.”
3Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 20“Tyler Sullivan on why he has the Titans covering over Indy in a 24-20 loss.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 — Steelers 23¹	Score Predictions	Steelers 26–19	35.71	33.7	+3.47
New England Patriots 30 — Jets 17²	Score Predictions	Patriots 26–19	85.71	83.33	+4.1
Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 20³	Score Predictions	Titans 26–20	45.24	35.71	+16.38
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled			55.6	50.9

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 55.6 out of 100, against 50.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 — Steelers 23
What happenedSteelers 26–19called Buccaneers by 1 · lost by 7
35.71Miss · naive 33.7
35.71this call33.7a naive guess2.01better than naive1.72difficulty+3.47skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–23 calls a Buccaneers win (by 1; the line gave the Buccaneers 44%) and more points (47).
How this was scored
score:
26-19
skill:
3.47
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
33.7
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 30 — Jets 17
What happenedPatriots 26–19called Patriots by 13 · won by 7
85.71Hit · naive 83.33
85.71this call83.33a naive guess2.38better than naive1.72difficulty+4.1skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5, total 43.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 13) and more points (47).
How this was scored
score:
19-26
skill:
4.1
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
83.33
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
13
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 20
What happenedTitans 26–20called Colts by 4 · lost by 6
45.24Close · naive 35.71
45.24this call35.71a naive guess9.53better than naive1.72difficulty+16.38skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Colts by 4) and more points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
26-20
skill:
16.38
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
35.71
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
55.6naive 50.9

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Anthony Richardson · Hit 100
Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance.
Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
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Dalton Feely · Trade and Signing Calls · Chris Godwin Jr. · Hit 100
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Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.