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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Sullivan picks the Seahawks 24-19 over the Broncos and the Panthers to win 23-21 at Philadelphia, also expecting Jalen Coker back for Carolina.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · 1 waiting
61.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
58.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I like the Panthers to roll into Lincoln Financial Field and turn the heat up under Nick Sirianni's seat to a fever pitch.
Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Pick Six: Seahawks-Broncos predictions for Thursday night, plus NFL Week 6 picks and QB rankings
The original
Read the original
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  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 15–18
  3. GradedOct 16–18
  1. 1Carolina Panthers 23 — Eagles 21“Tyler Sullivan — Panthers (+1.5) 23-21 over Eagles.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 19“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Seahawks 24-19 over Broncos”
  3. 3Availability Calls“it looks like they'll get No. 2 wideout Jalen Coker back for this one (Week 6 vs. Eagles)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Carolina Panthers 23 — Eagles 211Score PredictionsPanthers 25–1478.5723.81+94.19
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 192Score PredictionsBroncos 17–1445.2493.6−83.18
“it looks like they'll get No. 2 wideout Jalen Coker back for…”3Availability Calls————
3 calls · 2 close calls · 1 waiting61.958.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 61.9 out of 100, against 58.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers 23 — Eagles 21

    What happenedPanthers 25–14called Panthers by 2 · won by 11
    78.57Close · naive 23.81
    78.57this call23.81a naive guess54.76better than naive1.72difficulty+94.19skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Panthers by 2) and more points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    25-14
    skill:
    94.19
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    23.81
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 19

    What happenedBroncos 17–14called Seahawks by 5 · lost by 3
    45.24Close · naive 93.6
    45.24this call93.6a naive guess−48.36worse than naive1.72difficulty−83.18skill

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 24–19 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 5) and more points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −83.18
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    93.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.31
    predicted margin:
    5
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Availability CallsJalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    “it looks like they'll get No. 2 wideout Jalen Coker back for this one (Week 6 vs. Eagles)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    61.9naive 58.7

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