Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2026
Sullivan picked the Cowboys 34-20 over the Buccaneers and took the Jaguars to beat a reeling Eagles team 30-17 in London.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Tyler Sullivan said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Jags are too hot to fade at the moment, and face an Eagles team that feels like they are about to roll over.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Pick Six: Buccaneers-Cowboys predictions for Thursday night, plus NFL Week 5 picks and trade possibilities
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 8
- PlayedOct 8–11
- GradedOct 9–11
- 1Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Eagles 17“Tyler Sullivan — Jaguars (-6.5) 30-17 over Eagles.”
- 2Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 20“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Cowboys 34-20 over Buccaneers”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Eagles 171 | Score Predictions | Jaguars 19–17 | 73.81 | 96.54 | −40.45 | |
| Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 202 | Score Predictions | Buccaneers 24–16 | 35.71 | 32.2 | +6.26 | |
| 2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 54.8 | 64.4 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 54.8 out of 100, against 64.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Eagles 17
What happenedJaguars 19–17called Jaguars by 13 · won by 273.81Close · naive 96.5473.81this call−96.54a naive guess=−22.73worse than naive×1.78difficulty=−40.45skillClosing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 30–17 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 13) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 17-19
- skill:
- −40.45
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 73.81
- baseline:
- 96.54
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.55
- predicted margin:
- 13
2Score PredictionsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 20
What happenedBuccaneers 24–16called Cowboys by 14 · lost by 835.71Miss · naive 32.235.71this call−32.2a naive guess=3.51better than naive×1.78difficulty=+6.26skillClosing line (Oct 8): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 14) and more points (54).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 24-16
- skill:
- 6.26
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 32.2
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.52
- predicted margin:
- 14
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
54.8naive 64.4
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Randy Gurzi · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Hudson · Miss 0
Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player they expect Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. They also predict Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.Jeff Cavanaugh · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Hit 100
Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.