2024 U.S. House election in Arizona's district 1

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Every claim about this race (1)

Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.

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