2026 U.S. House election in Arizona's district 1
House · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Amish Shah (Democratic)Won—
- Jay Feely (Republican)—
- Monica Alponte (Libertarian)—
Amish Shah by — in the general · held by the Republican party going in · flipped · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 28, 2026
- Amish Shah49.0%
- Jay Feely45.0%
Amish Shah by 4.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 2 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keating Research | 2026-10-26 – 2026-10-28 | 500 LV | Amish Shah 49% · Jay Feely 45% |
| FirstStrategic | 2026-10-01 – 2026-10-01 | 400 LV | Amish Shah 44.4% · Jay Feely 41.6% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
No approved claim names this race yet.
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