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2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia

Senate · November 3, 2026 · not yet held

The ballot

Beside the pundits

Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.

The market · Polymarket · October 3, 2026

  • Jon Ossoff97¢
  • Mike Collins3¢

A price in cents is the market's probability. Prices move; this is the day's close as we read it.

The polls · VoteHub · 2 polls in 21 days · through September 23, 2026

  • Jon Ossoff52.7%
  • Mike Collins43.3%

Jon Ossoff by 9.4 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.

The 12 most recent polls
PollsterDatesSampleResult
InsiderAdvantage2026-09-22 – 2026-09-231200 LVJon Ossoff 50% · Mike Collins 42%
Big Data Poll · for Public Polling Project2026-09-21 – 2026-09-23678 LVJon Ossoff 55.4% · Mike Collins 44.6%
InsiderAdvantage · for James Magazine2026-08-16 – 2026-08-17800 LVJon Ossoff 50.1% · Mike Collins 42.6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · for AARP2026-07-13 – 2026-07-161060 LVJon Ossoff 52% · Mike Collins 43%
Wick2026-06-27 – 2026-06-301175 LVJon Ossoff 46.7% · Mike Collins 42.9%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · for Fox News2026-06-23 – 2026-06-271002 RVJon Ossoff 56% · Mike Collins 43%
Echelon Insights · for NetChoice2026-04-03 – 2026-04-09407 LVJon Ossoff 52% · Buddy Carter 43%
Echelon Insights · for NetChoice2026-04-03 – 2026-04-09407 LVJon Ossoff 51% · Mike Collins 44%
Emerson College · for Nexstar Media/WGN-TV2026-02-28 – 2026-03-021000 LVJon Ossoff 48.9% · Derek Dooley 41.4%
Emerson College · for Nexstar Media/WGN-TV2026-02-28 – 2026-03-021000 LVJon Ossoff 47.7% · Mike Collins 43.3%
Quantus Insights2025-09-09 – 2025-09-12624 RVJon Ossoff 42.1% · Derek Dooley 35.4%
Quantus Insights2025-09-09 – 2025-09-12624 RVJon Ossoff 37.8% · Mike Collins 37.7%

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Sep 20Sep 27Oct 4
Jon Ossoff 8· 8 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Every claim about this race (12)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.