Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

2026 U.S. House election in Florida's district 27

House · November 3, 2026 · not yet held

The ballot

Beside the pundits

Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.

The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through September 13, 2026

  • María Elvira Salazar47.0%
  • Eliott Rodriguez46.0%

María Elvira Salazar by 1.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.

The 4 most recent polls
PollsterDatesSampleResult
Tulchin Research (DEM) · for House Majority PAC2026-09-08 – 2026-09-13600 LVMaría Elvira Salazar 47% · Eliott Rodriguez 46%
Blueprint Polling (DEM)2026-03-06 – 2026-03-08451 RVMaría Elvira Salazar 46% · Eliott Rodriguez 43%
Blueprint Polling (DEM)2026-03-06 – 2026-03-08451 RVMaría Elvira Salazar 47% · Robin Peguero 40%
Kaplan Strategies2025-07-01 – 2025-07-01804 LVMaría Elvira Salazar 45% · Alex Fornino 35%

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Sep 27Oct 4
María Elvira Salazar 3· 3 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Every claim about this race (3)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.