2026 U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island
Senate · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Jack Reed (Democratic, incumbent)Won—
- Michael Bahry (Independent)—
- Raymond McKay (Republican)—
Jack Reed by — in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 31, 2026
- Jack Reed63.0%
- Raymond McKay32.0%
- Michael Bahry3.0%
Jack Reed by 31.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 5 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-10-27 – 2026-10-31 | 753 LV | Jack Reed 63% · Raymond McKay 32% · Michael Bahry 3% |
| Embold Research · for Salve Regina University Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy | 2026-10-05 – 2026-10-08 | 815 LV | Jack Reed 55% · Raymond McKay 32% · Michael Bahry 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-17 – 2026-09-21 | 598 LV | Jack Reed 53% · Raymond McKay 33% · Michael Bahry 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-20 – 2026-08-24 | 750 LV | Jack Reed 51% · Raymond McKay 31% · Michael Bahry 2% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-18 – 2026-06-23 | 664 LV | Jack Reed 52% · Raymond McKay 34% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
No approved claim names this race yet.
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