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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
9% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
201–225 of 409
Tee Higgins to fall short of his draft cost (WR16, 38th overall)
Higgins' ADP is lower this year than it has been in the past (WR16, 38th overall), but I'd still prefer Egbuka, McConkey, McMillan, and Waddle over him.
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (the 44th overall player)
You couldn't pay me to click on Quinshon Judkins as the 44th overall player... It's all a recipe for disaster at cost.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (ECR 26, RB13)
Jeremyiah Love (ECR 26, RB13) ... This year, he is a player that I am avoiding.
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (top-12 WR valuation)
Rice is an obvious fade in 2026 at his current top-12 WR valuation.
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 WR and Round 3 prices)
I just wish I wasn't paying top-15 WR and Round 3 prices for it... I really like Flowers, just don't like the price
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (RB6 price tag)
If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (a Top 50 option)
Garrett Wilson being drafted as a Top 50 option is way too rich for my blood.
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (the first three rounds)
Ashton Jeanty is not draftable in the first three rounds of any Fantasy Football draft... Drafting Jeanty in Round 1/Round 2 is the quickest way to throw away your Fantasy Football season.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (at six)
I'm not taking Christian McCaffrey at six. No. I'm not taking him at five.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (tight end eight)
Pretty out on Fannin. Given where he's going... Sleepers got him down at tight end eight
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (at ADP)
I'm not taking Alec Pierce under almost any circumstances at at ADP. Not in a redraft league, certainly.
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (WR37)
With the addition of Keenan Allen and Pierce's continued health struggles, I'm avoiding him in drafts this year.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (RB32)
I'll be avoiding Hubbard in drafts this year, especially with him also dealing with a hamstring injury in camp now.
Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (WR40)
This automatically makes him a player that I'm avoiding unless he slips past his ADP.
Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (QB7)
At a QB7 price, you are paying for the ceiling of the 2025 finish. The projections think you will get something closer to a mid-pack QB1.
Justin Herbert to fall short of his draft cost (QB8)
they want a discount Herbert’s QB8 cost does not offer
Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (WR33)
Further down the ADP list, Courtland Sutton is going as the WR33. Still, even in that spot, I don’t feel great about him.
Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17)
Now, he’s being drafted as the WR17. While his ADP is lower than his finish last season, a few things lead me to believe he’s perhaps closer to WR20.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tyler Allgeier to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 140 (RB44))
Tyler Allgeier (RB – ARI) | ADP: 140 (RB44) ... Fantrax drafters are effectively assuming that increased workload and a goal-line role are confirmed. They aren’t yet.
Tyler AllgeierArizona Cardinals
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 66 (WR31))
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | ADP: 66 (WR31) ... that projection looks much more attractive at the consensus price than when Fantrax makes him an earlier selection.
Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
Kyler Murray to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 118 (QB18))
Kyler Murray (QB – MIN) | ADP: 118 (QB18) ... taking him around 140th overall is far more appealing than spending a pick around 118 overall.
Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 148 (TE16))
Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 148 (TE16) ... the better approach is to wait and see rather than get tantalized by the potential.
Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (TE7)
Of all the tight ends going inside the top 10 this year, I like Harold Fannin Jr. the least. ... Add it all up, and I'm not ecstatic about taking Fannin at his current TE7 price tag. That feels like his ceiling this season
Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (Real-Time ADP of TE14)
And yet, here we are in August, and Andrews has a Real-Time ADP of TE14. ... I'm just not seeing any advantage to clicking on Andrews.
Brenton Strange to fall short of his draft cost (TE19)
At TE19, Strange doesn't cost a ton and can be picked near the end of your draft. Still, even if he does reach another level in his fourth NFL season, there are too many mouths to feed for him to fully flourish in fantasy.
Brenton StrangeJacksonville Jaguars