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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
9% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
201–225 of 409
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 19)
A wide receiver I'm avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London... At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (RB19 and 49 overall)
Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall.
Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)
His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.
Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)
I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)
I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average... I'll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (RB6 price tag)
If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)
Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (at ADP)
I'm not taking Alec Pierce under almost any circumstances at at ADP. Not in a redraft league, certainly.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (tight end eight)
Pretty out on Fannin. Given where he's going... Sleepers got him down at tight end eight
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (at six)
I'm not taking Christian McCaffrey at six. No. I'm not taking him at five.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (RB32)
I'll be avoiding Hubbard in drafts this year, especially with him also dealing with a hamstring injury in camp now.
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (WR37)
With the addition of Keenan Allen and Pierce's continued health struggles, I'm avoiding him in drafts this year.
Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (WR40)
This automatically makes him a player that I'm avoiding unless he slips past his ADP.
Justin Herbert to fall short of his draft cost (QB8)
they want a discount Herbert’s QB8 cost does not offer
Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (QB7)
At a QB7 price, you are paying for the ceiling of the 2025 finish. The projections think you will get something closer to a mid-pack QB1.
Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (WR33)
Further down the ADP list, Courtland Sutton is going as the WR33. Still, even in that spot, I don’t feel great about him.
Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17)
Now, he’s being drafted as the WR17. While his ADP is lower than his finish last season, a few things lead me to believe he’s perhaps closer to WR20.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tyler Allgeier to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 140 (RB44))
Tyler Allgeier (RB – ARI) | ADP: 140 (RB44) ... Fantrax drafters are effectively assuming that increased workload and a goal-line role are confirmed. They aren’t yet.
Tyler AllgeierArizona Cardinals
Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 148 (TE16))
Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 148 (TE16) ... the better approach is to wait and see rather than get tantalized by the potential.
Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 66 (WR31))
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | ADP: 66 (WR31) ... that projection looks much more attractive at the consensus price than when Fantrax makes him an earlier selection.
Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
Kyler Murray to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 118 (QB18))
Kyler Murray (QB – MIN) | ADP: 118 (QB18) ... taking him around 140th overall is far more appealing than spending a pick around 118 overall.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (Real-Time ADP of TE14)
And yet, here we are in August, and Andrews has a Real-Time ADP of TE14. ... I'm just not seeing any advantage to clicking on Andrews.
Brenton Strange to fall short of his draft cost (TE19)
At TE19, Strange doesn't cost a ton and can be picked near the end of your draft. Still, even if he does reach another level in his fourth NFL season, there are too many mouths to feed for him to fully flourish in fantasy.
Brenton StrangeJacksonville Jaguars
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (TE7)
Of all the tight ends going inside the top 10 this year, I like Harold Fannin Jr. the least. ... Add it all up, and I'm not ecstatic about taking Fannin at his current TE7 price tag. That feels like his ceiling this season
Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns