Loading…
Loading…
Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
9% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
176–200 of 409
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 77.19 | QB6)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 77.19 | QB6 ... Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 40.53 | RB21)
Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 40.53 | RB21 ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, calling the veteran a co-starter during training camp, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 65.33 | TE5)
Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) – ADP 65.33 | TE5 ... Fannin will have massive target competition in 2026 after the Browns drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 45.81 | WR21)
Luther Burden III (CHI)– ADP 45.81 | WR21 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 12.82 | WR5)
fantasy players want to avoid drafting Jefferson as a top-five wide receiver and a one-two turn pick.
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze)
I think the market is overvaluing draft capital here. Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze. I'd much rather have those third-year wideouts... I'm avoiding Tate at his current cost.
Demond Claiborne to fall short of his draft cost (going undrafted in most leagues)
Demond Claiborne is a sixth-round rookie who is currently third on the depth chart, behind Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones... you don't want to risk taking a zero by drafting Claiborne.
Demond ClaiborneMinnesota Vikings
Omar Cooper to fall short of his draft cost (Omar Cooper Jr. goes so late in drafts)
Cooper has gotten off to a slow start in camp, with reports indicating that he may be fourth on the depth chart... this is likely going to result in a slow start. Do you really want to stash a non-contributor for the first part of the season?
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (RB6 price tag)
If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18)
Tetairoa McMillan is my WR fade at his current price (WR18)... I'm not willing to pay McMillan's current price for what could be a limited-volume offense.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price in ADP)
Christian McCaffrey is one RB I'm avoiding at his current RB3 price in ADP... there are simply too many red flags for me to draft him at his current price.
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (RB19 and 49 overall)
Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 19)
A wide receiver I'm avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London... At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)
I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)
Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18 price)
Tetairoa McMillan is a receiver I'm avoiding at his current WR18 price because fantasy managers are already paying for a sizable second-year leap.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (a top-30 ADP)
He has also missed a lot of time over the past two seasons, which adds even more risk at a top-30 ADP. I have Rice at No. 34 overall, and there are other players in that range I would rather take.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (fantasy's 12th overall player off the board)
Justin Jefferson is fantasy's 12th overall player off the board at the moment. No thank you... A mid-to-late 2nd round pick is far enough for JJ to rise up my board.
Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (top-12 WR valuation)
Rice is an obvious fade in 2026 at his current top-12 WR valuation.
Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (RB 19)
Bottom line- Etienne's ADP at RB 19 is too rich for my blood... Who dat' want to draft Travis Etienne in 2026? Not Mark Ringo.
Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 WR and Round 3 prices)
I just wish I wasn't paying top-15 WR and Round 3 prices for it... I really like Flowers, just don't like the price
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)
I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (the 44th overall player)
You couldn't pay me to click on Quinshon Judkins as the 44th overall player... It's all a recipe for disaster at cost.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (the first three rounds)
Ashton Jeanty is not draftable in the first three rounds of any Fantasy Football draft... Drafting Jeanty in Round 1/Round 2 is the quickest way to throw away your Fantasy Football season.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Tee Higgins to fall short of his draft cost (WR16, 38th overall)
Higgins' ADP is lower this year than it has been in the past (WR16, 38th overall), but I'd still prefer Egbuka, McConkey, McMillan, and Waddle over him.