Loading…
Loading…
Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
9% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
176–200 of 409
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 40.53 | RB21)
Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 40.53 | RB21 ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, calling the veteran a co-starter during training camp, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 77.19 | QB6)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 77.19 | QB6 ... Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 65.33 | TE5)
Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) – ADP 65.33 | TE5 ... Fannin will have massive target competition in 2026 after the Browns drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 5.58 | RB3)
Christian McCaffrey (SF) – ADP 5.58 | RB3 ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 45.81 | WR21)
Luther Burden III (CHI)– ADP 45.81 | WR21 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.
Demond Claiborne to fall short of his draft cost (going undrafted in most leagues)
Demond Claiborne is a sixth-round rookie who is currently third on the depth chart, behind Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones... you don't want to risk taking a zero by drafting Claiborne.
Demond ClaiborneMinnesota Vikings
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze)
I think the market is overvaluing draft capital here. Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze. I'd much rather have those third-year wideouts... I'm avoiding Tate at his current cost.
Omar Cooper to fall short of his draft cost (Omar Cooper Jr. goes so late in drafts)
Cooper has gotten off to a slow start in camp, with reports indicating that he may be fourth on the depth chart... this is likely going to result in a slow start. Do you really want to stash a non-contributor for the first part of the season?
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (WR12, 30th overall)
Rashee Rice is in the no-fly zone for me at WR12, 30th overall... I'm completely out on Rice.
Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (RB 19)
Bottom line- Etienne's ADP at RB 19 is too rich for my blood... Who dat' want to draft Travis Etienne in 2026? Not Mark Ringo.
Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average... I'll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo
Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)
His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.
Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (His ADP of 33)
I'm avoiding Breece Hall in all of my drafts at his current price... His ADP of 33 assumes full health and strong efficiency, neither of which feels secure right now.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (fantasy's 12th overall player off the board)
Justin Jefferson is fantasy's 12th overall player off the board at the moment. No thank you... A mid-to-late 2nd round pick is far enough for JJ to rise up my board.
Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (a top-30 ADP)
He has also missed a lot of time over the past two seasons, which adds even more risk at a top-30 ADP. I have Rice at No. 34 overall, and there are other players in that range I would rather take.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (RB19 and 49 overall)
Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price in ADP)
Christian McCaffrey is one RB I'm avoiding at his current RB3 price in ADP... there are simply too many red flags for me to draft him at his current price.
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 50)
Garrett Wilson is an excellent receiver, but I keep passing on him inside the top 50. I do not trust a Frank Reich offense to consistently create the concentrated volume needed for a true fantasy WR1 season.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)
Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (26th overall, RB13)
I said it before his high ankle sprain, and I'll say it again now: Jeremiyah Love is far too expensive (26th overall, RB13).
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)
I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 19)
A wide receiver I'm avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London... At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18)
Tetairoa McMillan is my WR fade at his current price (WR18)... I'm not willing to pay McMillan's current price for what could be a limited-volume offense.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18 price)
Tetairoa McMillan is a receiver I'm avoiding at his current WR18 price because fantasy managers are already paying for a sizable second-year leap.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)
I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers