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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
151–175 of 1,251
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (late-RB2 or top-of-RB3 range)
His stock has risen sharply, and he now belongs in the late-RB2 or top-of-RB3 range rather than as a dart throw.
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.11)
Here are 10 players being drafted in the 11th round or later who have the upside to become weekly must-start options... WR Xavier Worthy , Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 11.11)
Michael Pittman to outplay his draft cost (after round eight)
If you're looking for a set-it-and-forget-it pick after round eight, Pittman is your best bet.
Patrick Mahomes to outplay his draft cost (ADP of QB14)
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP of QB14, and if anyone can bounce back, it's Mahomes.
Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (the last round of your draft)
This is the easiest click in almost every single draft. At his current average draft position (ADP), Malik Willis is practically free. Of all the quarterbacks I have mentioned, he carries the most upside at cost.
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (late-round quarterback)
Tyler Shough is a wonderful late-round quarterback who could be a QB1 in 2026.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (after the 10th round)
In Purdy, you're getting one of the most efficient and productive quarterbacks in the league after the 10th round.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (the final few rounds of drafts)
You can target Schultz in the final few rounds of drafts, giving you plenty of upside without having to spend premium draft capital.
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (dirt-cheap ADP)
Obviously, the risk with White is that he has not been able to completely separate himself from Day 3 RBs in the past (Bucky Irving, Sean Tucker), but that concern is more than accounted for in his dirt-cheap ADP.
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 9.6 | RB 5)
I happily draft him as the third running back off the board, easily ahead of Christian McCaffrey.
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (ADP 59.8 | RB 26)
Price has a chance to be a massive steal at his current ADP, especially given how he stood out during training camp.
Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP 168.2 | RB 53)
Coleman is my favorite sleeper running back candidate and someone I want to draft in every league.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if we see a bump to a similar range for Jefferson and his catchable target rate increases, then Jefferson should be fine
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see him as a value here
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty.
Jake Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (Ferguson isn’t even being drafted in 10-team leagues)
Jake Ferguson is going completely overlooked based on current ADP, which makes him one of the easiest players to add to our recommendations as a sleeper going into the upcoming season.
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (If you choose to wait on tight ends to the very end of your draft)
Chig Okonkwo will be donning a different uniform this season, and with that, could be in line for a much more productive season than expected... Okonkwo makes for a solid add, especially in 12-team leagues or larger.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (currently being drafted as the 16th tight end)
His ADP absolutely warrant a sleeper tag as well, especially in smaller leagues. Juwan Johnson is currently being drafted as the 16th tight end in PPR leagues.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Likely is currently the 12th tight-end going off the board)
With the increase in playing time, targets, and opportunity, Likely could be a very valuable sleeper in 2026-27.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)
Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing... Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value