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Nick Wright· Sep 20, 2026

Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.

“The Jags are going to win this game outright.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 availability call and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers to beat Atlanta

    “I expect Carolina to win. I'm laying less than a field goal.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver

    “The Jags are going to win this game outright. And I get two and a half points.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    -194
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • “Lad didn't practice on Wednesday, and I don't expect Lad to play. (Week 2 vs. Vegas)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    “And again, I picked the Broncos to make the playoffs.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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