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Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 16, 2026

In the joint top-10 mock, Brooks gave the Jets David Bailey at No. 2, Tennessee Arvell Reese at No. 4, Cleveland Spencer Fano at No. 6, New Orleans running back Jeremiah Love at No. 8 and Cincinnati safety Caleb Downs at No. 10.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · all settled
92Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#26Bucky Brooks’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bucky Brooks said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Welcome to Gotham. David Bailey is a jet.
Bucky Brooks, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
How Coaching Changes Reshape Draft Boards + Alternating Mock Draft 1.0
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 16
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10“Caleb Downs is the pick for the Cincinnati Bengals.”
  2. 2Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8“you are up with New Orleans... I think Jeremiah Love will be the perfect fit in this situation.”
  3. 3Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6“I'm gonna take Spenser for No with the Citys for the Cleveland Browns.”
  4. 4David Bailey to be picked at number 2“I'm gonna give the Jets David Bailey from Texas Tech. I'm gonna give them a pass rusher... David Bailey is a jet.”
  5. 5Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4“That's RVL Reese... I'm gonna go with Rvill Reese being a guy that the Tennessee Titans can build around.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 101Mock Draft PicksWent 1195.7650+35
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 82Mock Draft PicksWent 380.5250+35
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 63Mock Draft PicksWent 987.8150+35
David Bailey to be picked at number 24Mock Draft PicksWent 210050+35
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 45Mock Draft PicksWent 595.7650+35
5 calls · 5 hits · all settled9250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 92 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
10They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 11mocked at 10
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    85this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35better than naive1difficulty+35skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveNew Orleans Saints

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 8
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    85this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35better than naive1difficulty+35skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoCleveland Browns

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 9mocked at 6
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    85this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35better than naive1difficulty+35skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyNew York Jets

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 2
    100Hit · naive 50
    85this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35better than naive1difficulty+35skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 4
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    85this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35better than naive1difficulty+35skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    92naive 50

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