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Mike Kadlick· Oct 1, 2026

Kadlick predicts Deshaun Watson throws for 300-plus yards against Pittsburgh on Thursday night, and that the Browns win their third straight game, beating the Steelers 24-10.

“I'm taking the Browns to win this one by two scores, 24–10, to move to 3–1 on the season.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cleveland Browns 24 — Steelers 10

    “I'm taking the Browns to win this one by two scores, 24–10, to move to 3–1 on the season.”

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 95.04-38.86 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    -38.86
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    95.04
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.92
    predicted margin:
    14

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