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Chad RaderFeb 16, 2026

As read on the show, Reuter's three-round NFL.com mock has the same top four, then Delane to the Giants at five, Makai Lemmon to the Browns, Downs to Washington, Love to the Saints, Caden Proctor to the Chiefs at nine, Akeem Mesidore at 40 and Kaitlin Allen in round three.

Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 11calls landed7 hits · 3 close calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting
74.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 11 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
11 of 12Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Chad Rader said

And he's got the cheese taking, left tackle, Caden Proctor, who would then switch from left to right tackle.
Chad Rader, the lead quote
The episode
That Football Show 2/16: Top 5 Biggest Positional Needs for the Chiefs in the 2026 NFL Offseason
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 16
  2. GradedAug 14–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks6311
Prospect vs Prospect Calls1000
All7311

How each call scored

12 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 74.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
5They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks6 hits · 3 close calls · 1 miss · 1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 5

    “He's got the lane, the corner at LSU going five to the Giants”

    Mansoor DelaneNew York Giants

    Went 6mocked at 5
    95.76Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Kaytron Allen to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    “And then in the third round, he has the Chiefs taking Caitlin Allen.”

    Kaytron AllenKansas City Chiefs

    Went 187
    2.31Miss

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Kaytron Allen
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.31
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    187
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.31
    predicted pick:
    third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 40

    “He has he has the Chiefs at 40 taking an edge, who actually is a really interesting player, Akeem Messador.”

    Akheem MesidorKansas City Chiefs

    Went 22mocked at 40
    45.85Close

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    40
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    “Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    Went 10mocked at 3
    73.84Close

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    “Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    Went 5mocked at 2
    87.81Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  7. David Bailey to be picked at number 4

    “He actually had seen four picks. I'm sorry. Barely to the tight.”

    David BaileyTennessee Titans

    Went 2mocked at 4
    91.7Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Makai Lemon to be picked at number 6

    “He's got the browns taking Makai Lemmon”

    Makai LemonCleveland Browns

    Went 20mocked at 6
    54.53Close

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 9

    “And he's got the cheese taking, left tackle, Caden Proctor, who would then switch from left to right tackle.”

    Kadyn ProctorKansas City Chiefs

    Went 12mocked at 9
    87.81Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    “And he's got the commanders taken down, which okay. Fine.”

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    Went 11mocked at 7
    84.09Hit

    mock order 93.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 43.33 × 1 difficulty = +43.33 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    43.33
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    93.33
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Jordan Love to be picked at number 8

    “And he's got the Saints taken love, which is completely reasonable.”

    Jordan LoveNew Orleans Saints

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Prospect vs Prospect Calls1 hitShow ▸
  1. Akheem Mesidor to be drafted ahead of Zion Young

    “So he's got, Mesidore going, one spot ahead of Zion Young, by the way, out of Mizuho.”

    Akheem MesidorKansas City Chiefs

    100Hit

    100 − 50 naive = 50 × 1 difficulty = +50 skill

    How this was scored
    claim:
    Akheem Mesidor drafted ahead of Zion Young
    draft:
    2026
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    Akheem Mesidor went 22, Zion Young went 45
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    compared to:
    Zion Young
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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