Chad Rader· Feb 16, 2026
As read on the show, Reuter's three-round NFL.com mock has the same top four, then Delane to the Giants at five, Makai Lemmon to the Browns, Downs to Washington, Love to the Saints, Caden Proctor to the Chiefs at nine, Akeem Mesidore at 40 and Kaitlin Allen in round three.
“And he's got the cheese taking, left tackle, Caden Proctor, who would then switch from left to right tackle.”
said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →
12 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 74.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickthird round (picks 65–100)They said
187What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksKaytron AllenKansas City ChiefsFeb 16, 2026
Kaytron Allen to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)
“And then in the third round, he has the Chiefs taking Caitlin Allen.”
Miss · 2Scored 2.31 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Kaytron Allen
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.31
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 187
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.31
- predicted pick:
- third round (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Akheem Mesidor to be drafted ahead of Zion Young
“So he's got, Mesidore going, one spot ahead of Zion Young, by the way, out of Mizuho.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Akheem Mesidor drafted ahead of Zion Young
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Akheem Mesidor went 22, Zion Young went 45
- player:
- Akheem Mesidor
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Zion Young
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksAkheem MesidorKansas City ChiefsFeb 16, 2026
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 40
“He has he has the Chiefs at 40 taking an edge, who actually is a really interesting player, Akeem Messador.”
Close · 46Scored 45.85 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Akheem Mesidor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 45.85
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 45.85
- predicted pick:
- 40
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsFeb 16, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyTennessee TitansFeb 16, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 4
“He actually had seen four picks. I'm sorry. Barely to the tight.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonCleveland BrownsFeb 16, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 6
“He's got the browns taking Makai Lemmon”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsWashington CommandersFeb 16, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7
“And he's got the commanders taken down, which okay. Fine.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksKadyn ProctorKansas City ChiefsFeb 16, 2026
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 9
“And he's got the cheese taking, left tackle, Caden Proctor, who would then switch from left to right tackle.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksFrancis MauigoaArizona CardinalsFeb 16, 2026
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneNew York GiantsFeb 16, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 5
“He's got the lane, the corner at LSU going five to the Giants”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksJordan LoveNew Orleans SaintsFeb 16, 2026
Jordan Love to be picked at number 8
“And he's got the Saints taken love, which is completely reasonable.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.