Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · May 13, 2026

Jefferson predicted the Eagles beat Dallas on Thanksgiving, picked the Jaguars to win both their London games including one over the Eagles, and said Tyler Shuck will have a better season than Aaron Rodgers.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 4 misses · all settled
20Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
20A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#66TJ Jefferson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What TJ Jefferson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm going Jags Jags back to back.
TJ Jefferson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Hour 1: Rich’s Way-Way-Way-Too-Early NFL Power Rankings, plus NFL International Schedule Reaction
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidMay 13
  2. PlayedOct 11–Nov 8
  3. GradedOct 11–Nov 8
  1. 1Atlanta Falcons to beat Bengals“I'm gonna go with the Falcons.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to beat Dallas“None none bigger than TJ Jefferson saying the Eagles are gonna beat the Dallas on Thanksgiving Day.”
  3. 3New Orleans Saints to beat Steelers“No? You're taking the Saints? Yeah. ... Give me the Saints.”
  4. 4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans“I'm going Jags Jags back to back.”
  5. 5Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles“Jaguars, Eagles in London. ... Jags. ... I'm going Jags Jags back to back.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Atlanta Falcons to beat Bengals1Game Outcome PicksBengals 34–17000
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Dallas2Game Outcome PicksCowboys 38–21000
New Orleans Saints to beat Steelers3Game Outcome PicksSteelers 16–10000
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans4Game Outcome PicksTexans 34–31000
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles5Game Outcome PicksJaguars 19–171001000
5 calls · 1 hit · 4 misses · all settled2020

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Bengals

    What happenedBengals 34–17Bengals at Falcons
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Dallas

    What happenedCowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans Saints

    New Orleans Saints to beat Steelers

    What happenedSteelers 16–10Steelers at Saints
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    16-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans

    What happenedTexans 34–31Texans at Jaguars
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles

    What happenedJaguars 19–17Eagles at Jaguars
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    20naive 20

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these