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Zachary PerelesOct 4, 2026

After the Rams' 24-20 comeback win over the Eagles, they argued it was an overreaction to say Los Angeles should no longer be Super Bowl favorites, affirming they belong as the top Super Bowl contender. They also declared it reality that the Cowboys will win the NFC East, pointing to Dallas' win over Houston and the division's other teams struggling.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Simply put, Dallas, with a defense that should only improve and an offense that can go toe-to-toe with any, should win this division.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Week 4 overreactions: Should Rams still be Super Bowl favorites? Cowboys to win NFC East?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl“The Rams shouldn't be Super Bowl favorites / Overreaction or reality: Overreaction ... The Super Bowl favorites were staring down a 1-3 start”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys to win the division“The Cowboys will win the NFC East / Overreaction or reality: Reality ... Dallas ... should win this division.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl1Super Bowl Picks————
Dallas Cowboys to win the division2Division Winners————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Wins the Super BowlThey said
Did not win it2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Division WinnersDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.