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Phil SimmsSep 17, 2026

Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Rams 28–6What happenedGiants at Rams
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−194Skillafter difficulty

What Phil Simms said

I think they can hang in there, and I think they can win the game.
Our reading: New York Giants to beat Rams
The episode
Lions-Bills pick; The Heat is on Broncos & Rams
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 21
  3. GradedSep 30

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Rams

    What happenedRams 28–6Giants at Rams
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5 · underdog pick, Giants 28%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    −194
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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