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nthony Darelle "Booger" McFarlandFeb 25, 2026

McFarland projected Ohio State's Arbel Reese to measure in at roughly 6-4 and 240-245 pounds at the combine, and argued Cincinnati and Trey Hendrickson will go their separate ways this offseason.

Said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · all settled
97.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
43.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What nthony Darelle "Booger" McFarland said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's probably gonna come in six four, two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds.
nthony Darelle "Booger" McFarland, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
NFL Live (podcast)
The episode
Defensive Lineman at the Combine
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 25
  2. GradedAug 18–Sep 18
  1. 1Trey Hendrickson to move“So I think it's best for both parties to move on. Trey Hendrickson to go in separate ways and for Cincinnati to start playing some of those young guys.”
  2. 2Arvell Reese to post six four at the combine“He's probably gonna come in six four, two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds.”
  3. 3Arvell Reese to post two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds at the combine“He's probably gonna come in six four, two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Trey Hendrickson to move1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Arvell Reese to post six four at the combine2Combine Measurements7610089.03+10.97
Arvell Reese to post two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds at the combine3Combine Measurements24193.8341.65+52.18
3 calls · 3 hits · all settled97.943.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 combine measurements and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 97.9 out of 100, against 43.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Trey Hendrickson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → BAL
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Combine MeasurementsArvell Reese

    Arvell Reese to post six four at the combine

    What happened76called 76
    100Hit · naive 89.03
    100this call89.03a naive guess10.97better than naive1difficulty+10.97skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    0
    drill:
    height in
    naive:
    the average EDGE (75.79, from 149 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 1.28 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
    skill:
    10.97
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    result:
    76
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    89.03
    they said:
    76
    sigmas out:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Combine MeasurementsArvell Reese

    Arvell Reese to post two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds at the combine

    What happened241called 240
    93.83Hit · naive 41.65
    93.83this call41.65a naive guess52.18better than naive1difficulty+52.18skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    1
    drill:
    weight lbs
    naive:
    the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
    skill:
    52.18
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    result:
    241
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    93.83
    baseline:
    41.65
    they said:
    240
    sigmas out:
    0.09
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    97.9naive 43.6

Others on the same people

More combine measurements

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.