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Kurt WarnerDec 3, 2025

Warner said the Ravens are the better team in their week 14 matchup against the Steelers, while breaking down keys to several week 14 games.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100

Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

0Skillafter difficulty

What Kurt Warner said

But I I definitely think the Ravens are the better team.

Our reading: Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers

Where it was said: The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode: Hour 1: Ole Miss/CFP Rankings Intrigue, plus NFL Network’s Kurt Warner
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidDec 3, 2025
GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.28difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 7): Ravens by 5.5 · favorite pick, Ravens 70%.
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
27-22
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.28
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
5
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Baltimore Ravens

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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