Tommy Vietor· Oct 25, 2024
Introducing his guest, he said he and his colleagues believe Colin Allred will defeat Ted Cruz and become Texas's next senator.
“Joining us today is the man we all believe is going to finally defeat Ted Cruz, and become the next US senator from Texas, representative Colin Allred.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pod Save America · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Race WinnersOct 25, 2024
“Joining us today is the man we all believe is going to finally defeat Ted Cruz, and become the next US senator from Texas, representative Colin Allred.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-102 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- no
- race:
- 2024-senate-tx
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- -102
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Republican
- result from:
- wikipedia-2024-senate
- who won:
- Ted Cruz
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Colin Allred
- days before the vote when called:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1.02
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Democratic
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