2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas

Senate · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Ted Cruz (Republican, incumbent)Won53.1%
Colin Allred (Democratic)44.6%
Ted Brown (Libertarian)2.4%

Ted Cruz by 8.5 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: wikipedia-2024-senate

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Ted Cruz 8Colin Allred 1· 9 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Ted Cruz8 picks · won
Colin Allred1 pick · lost

Every claim about this race (11)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Lakshya Jain: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “Leans Republican”
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Michael Cohen: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Justin Robert Young: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Nathan Gonzales: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “tilt Republican”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Kirk Bado: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “too little too late here to really push that across the line”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
David Pakman: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Amber Duke: Ted Cruz: two or three points in TX Senate (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Close · 45
Tommy Vietor: Colin Allred wins TX Senate (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Miss · 0
Bill Scher: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “shored up”
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100
Domenico Montanaro: Ted Cruz: probably a three to four point race in favor of Republicans in TX Senate (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take
Close · 55