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John ShipleyAug 12, 2026

Shipley argues rookie third-round defensive tackle Albert Regis deserves tempered expectations, projecting them to make the 53-man roster but rank fifth among Jacksonville's interior defensive linemen, behind Matt Dickerson and Ruke Orhorhoro in snaps.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What John Shipley said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
out of the five interior defensive linemen on our latest projected 53-man roster, Regis would be No. 5 in the pecking order
John Shipley, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
It Might Be Time to Temper Expectations for One Top Jaguars Draft Pick
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 12
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Albert Regis to make the roster“out of the five interior defensive linemen on our latest projected 53-man roster, Regis would be No. 5 in the pecking order”
  2. 2Albert Regis to be 5th on the depth chart“out of the five interior defensive linemen on our latest projected 53-man roster, Regis would be No. 5 in the pecking order and behind Matt Dickerson and Ruke Orhorhoro for total snaps.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Albert Regis to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
Albert Regis to be 5th on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    JAX
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Albert Regis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsAlbert RegisJacksonville Jaguars

    Albert Regis to be 5th on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.