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AJ Hawk· Nov 5, 2026

Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.

“I gotta take the Jaguars on the road. I think they find a way probably win by 17 points.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Ravens

    “I gotta take the Jaguars on the road. I think they find a way probably win by 17 points.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).

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