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Brandon Sneide· Feb 6, 2026

Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.

“I think it's thirty one twenty three type game”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 70.2 out of 100, against 4.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    “I do think Seattle late in this one will eventually pull away and win the Super Bowl.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 23

    “I think they win. I think it's thirty one twenty three type game... I got Seattle 3123.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 16.73+64.22 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    64.22
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drake Maye to win second in MVP balloting

    “I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    “I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More award picks

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