Skip to main content

Brandon SneideFeb 6, 2026

Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
93.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
5.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Brandon Sneide said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think it's thirty one twenty three type game
Brandon Sneide, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PACKERS SQUAD SHOW: Packers Offseason Begins | Brian Gutekunst Speaks + Super Bowl LX Picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 5
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“I do think Seattle late in this one will eventually pull away and win the Super Bowl.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 23“I think they win. I think it's thirty one twenty three type game... I got Seattle 3123.”
  3. 3Matthew Stafford to win MVP“I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford”
  4. 4Drake Maye — second in MVP balloting: place 2“I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl1Super Bowl PicksSEA won it1000+100
Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 232Score Predictions—80.9516.73+64.22
Matthew Stafford to win MVP3Award PicksMatthew Stafford won1000+100
Drake Maye — second in MVP balloting: place 24Award Picks————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting93.65.6

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 93.6 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 23

    VerdictHit
    80.95Hit · naive 16.73
    80.95this call16.73a naive guess64.22better than naive1difficulty+64.22skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 31–23 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    64.22
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Award PicksMatthew Stafford

    Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    What happenedMatthew Stafford won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Award PicksDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye — second in MVP balloting: place 2

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    93.6naive 5.6

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.