Tyler Sullivan· Oct 22, 2026
Sullivan picked the Bears 24-20 over the Patriots and the Browns 24-17 over the Titans, and flagged three Week 7 upsets: the Giants over the Texans, the Falcons over the 49ers and the Cardinals over the Broncos.
“Tyler Sullivan — Browns (-1.5) 24-17 over Titans.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 95.2 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bears 23 calls
- Giants at Texans 13 calls
- Browns at Titans 12 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsOct 22, 2026
New York Giants to beat Texans
“NFL Week 7 upset alert: Three favorites who could go down ... Giants (+10.5) over Texans.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 27-21
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Texans by 10 · underdog pick, Giants about 1 in 5 (20%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 22, 2026
Cleveland Browns 24 — Titans 17
“Tyler Sullivan — Browns (-1.5) 24-17 over Titans.”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 42.18+80.65 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 80.65
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 42.18
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 7
Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5, total 36.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Browns win (by 7) and more points (41). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsOct 22, 2026
Chicago Bears 24 — Patriots 20
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Bears 24-20 over Patriots”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 86.37+14.8 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- 14.8
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and fewer points (44).
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 100Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 55Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.
- Michael HanichScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 81Predicts a 24-18 Seahawks victory, with Drew Lock steadying the offense and the running game improving.