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John HendricksSep 17, 2026

John Hendricks picked Baltimore to win 23-17, predicted Derrick Henry would score two touchdowns, called for Devon Vale's first career 100-yard receiving game, and bought Chris Olave topping 1,300 receiving yards.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 2 waiting
47.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
32.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
2Waitingnot graded yet

What John Hendricks said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
My bold prediction is that, Devon Vale is gonna have his first career 100 yard receiving game.
John Hendricks, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
SAINTS SQUAD SHOW: Saints May Have To Pick Their Poison Between Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens 23 — Saints 17“I think it's more like a twenty three seventeen type win for Baltimore.”
  2. 2Derrick Henry to record 2 rushing tds“I think Derrick Henry is gonna control the tempo of the game good bit. I think he'll get in two touchdowns easily.”
  3. 3Chris Olave to record 1,300 receiving yards“buy or sell Chris Olave going over 1,300 receiving yards in 2026... I I I'd I'd think that's a pretty pretty big buy for me... So 1,300, I'll take that every single day.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens 23 — Saints 171Score PredictionsSaints 24–1747.6232.1+30.1
Derrick Henry to record 2 rushing tds2Player Season Numbers————
Chris Olave to record 1,300 receiving yards3Player Season Numbers————
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 waiting47.632.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 32.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Chris Olave · 2026 season · receiving yards

4 calls from 4 pundits between 89 receiving yards and 1,300 receiving yards. John Hendricks said 1,300 receiving yards. the room's median is 1,000 receiving yards. not settled yet

John Hendricks — 1,300 receiving yardsthe room — 4 calls from 4 punditsmedian 1,000 receiving yards

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Score PredictionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens 23 — Saints 17

    What happenedSaints 24–17called Ravens by 6 · lost by 7
    47.62Close · naive 32.1
    47.62this call32.1a naive guess15.52better than naive1.94difficulty+30.1skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Ravens by 8.5, total 45.5 · this 23–17 calls a closer game (Ravens by 6) and fewer points (40).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-17
    skill:
    30.1
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    32.1
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Player Season NumbersDerrick HenryBaltimore Ravens

    Derrick Henry to record 2 rushing tds

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Player Season NumbersChris OlaveNew Orleans Saints

    Chris Olave to record 1,300 receiving yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.