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Jacob Westendorf· Oct 29, 2026

Westendorf expects a sloppy game but picks Green Bay to edge Carolina 17-14 and reach 5-3.

“Expect a sloppy game, but the Packers will make one more play than the Panthers, getting them to 5-3 before a much-needed mini bye week.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 94.1 out of 100, against 90 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 29, 2026

    Green Bay Packers 17 — Panthers 14

    “Jacob’s Prediction: Packers 17, Panthers 14.”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 79.94+13.13 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    13.13
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 17–14 calls a closer game (Packers by 3) and fewer points (31).

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  • Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 29, 2026

    Green Bay Packers to beat Panthers

    “the Packers will make one more play than the Panthers, getting them to 5-3”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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