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Zach RobertsSep 7, 2026

Roberts expects the Bears to beat the Panthers in Charlotte in Week 1, a narrow road win rather than a blowout, arguing Chicago holds the edge in every matchup on paper.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Bears 59–37What happenedBears at Panthers
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+200Skillafter difficulty

What Zach Roberts said

Their strengths also align with the Panthers' strengths, but they still get the nod.
Our reading: Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
What Panthers vs, Bears NFL Odds Say About Crucial Week 1 Matchup
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 7
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Panthers

    What happenedBears 59–37Bears at Panthers
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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