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Tyler Sullivan· Nov 2, 2026

Sullivan expects the Jets to lose in Kansas City in Week 9, leaving them with seven losses in nine games by the trade deadline, and wonders whether the Vikings will drop their next three games (vs. Bills, at Packers, vs. 49ers) to fall to 6-4. He also says Carson Beck will eventually take over as the Cardinals' starting quarterback.

“In all likelihood, they'll have accumulated seven losses over their first nine games once they reach the deadline.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Carson Beck · 2026 season

10 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 1. Tyler Sullivan said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Tyler Sullivan — 1the room — 10 calls from 9 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets

    “New York is 2-6 on the season and will travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs in Week 9 before the Nov. 10 deadline rolls in. In all likelihood, they'll have accumulated seven losses over their first nine games once they reach the deadline.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings

    “Their next three games are: vs. Bills, at Packers and vs. 49ers. In the blink of an eye, they could look up in a month and be 6-4.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Vikings

    “Their next three games are: vs. Bills, at Packers and vs. 49ers. In the blink of an eye, they could look up in a month and be 6-4.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carson Beck to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Jacoby Brissett's tenure as the Cardinals starter is over. While Gardner Minshew was able to lead Arizona to a win, it's now only a matter of time before Carson Beck gets his shot.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings

    “After dropping their first game of the season, I wonder if the Vikings tumble even more. Their next three games are: vs. Bills, at Packers and vs. 49ers. In the blink of an eye, they could look up in a month and be 6-4.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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