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John ShipleyAug 13, 2026

Shipley's training camp winners and losers: they pick Parker Washington to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards, sees B.J. Green winning the DE3 job, Jarrian Jones earning a Week 1 starting job, and Matt Dickerson, Branson Combs and Chuma Edoga making the roster, while Quintin Morris is a bubble player behind two rookie tight ends.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 5 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 7Settled5 still waiting
5Waitingnot graded yet

What John Shipley said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He is my current pick to lead the Jaguars this year in receiving yards.
John Shipley, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
10 Winners, 5 Losers From Mid-Point of Jaguars Training Camp
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 13
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Branson Combs to make the roster“he looks like a lock for the training camp this year”
  2. 2Matt Dickerson to make the roster“He looks like he will make the 53-man roster.”
  3. 3Quintin Morris to be 4th on the depth chart“the Jaguars clearly have both of their rookie tight ends Nate Boerkircher and Tanner Koziol ahead of him in the pecking order. He looks like he is firmly on the roster bubble.”
  4. 4BJ Green II to be 3rd on the depth chart“I thought Danny Striggow was a lock to win the DE3 job for the Jaguars in training camp, but so far it has seemed like that role belongs to B.J. Green.”
  5. 5Jarrian Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“it feels like he has earned himself a starting gig in Week 1”
  6. 6Parker Washington to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards“He is my current pick to lead the Jaguars this year in receiving yards.”
  7. 7Chuma Edoga to make the roster“Chuma Edoga could go from odd man out to a spot on the 53-man roster”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Branson Combs to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Matt Dickerson to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Quintin Morris to be 4th on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
BJ Green II to be 3rd on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
Jarrian Jones to be 1st on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
Parker Washington to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards6Positional Finishes————
Chuma Edoga to make the roster7Roster Spot Calls————
7 calls · 2 hits · 5 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 3 roster spot calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    JAX
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Branson Combs
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    JAX
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Matt Dickerson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsQuintin MorrisJacksonville Jaguars

    Quintin Morris to be 4th on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsBJ Green IIJacksonville Jaguars

    BJ Green II to be 3rd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsJarrian JonesJacksonville Jaguars

    Jarrian Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Positional FinishesParker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Parker Washington to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 100

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.