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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 13, 2026

Prisco predicts the Lions blow out the Saints in Detroit and that the Chargers rout the Cardinals behind a new-look offense.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Lions 31–30What happenedSaints at Lions
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

Lions big.
Our reading: Detroit Lions to beat Saints
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 1 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who has edge in Bills-Texans? Can Saints upset Lions?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 13
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat Saints

    What happenedLions 31–30Saints at Lions
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Lions by 7 · favorite pick, Lions about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    30-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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