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Rich Eisen· Oct 24, 2025

In running through his top Week 8 matchups, Eisen said the Ravens' run starts now against the Bears, expected the Eagles to handle the Giants rather than be upset, argued the Cowboys are set up to win the NFC East, and said he's voting for Javonte Williams as Comeback Player of the Year.

“I keep saying the Ravens can go on a run. It starts now.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    “the Cowboys are set up. They're set up to win this division.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -161
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.61
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    won the division:
    no

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  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants

    “If they win this game, they're four three and one while the Eagles take on the Giants. I'm not expecting that to be the upset.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to beat Bears

    “I keep saying the e Ravens can go on a run. It starts now. It starts now, and it starts against the Bears team that's won four in a row”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    16-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

  • Javonte Williams to win Comeback Player of the Year

    “Javonte Williams has shown up in a way you didn't see coming. Comeback player of the year. Get familiar... I'm still voting for him.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Javonte Williams
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Christian McCaffrey
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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