Skip to main content

Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2025

In running through their top Week 8 matchups, Eisen said the Ravens' run starts now against the Bears, expected the Eagles to handle the Giants rather than be upset, argued the Cowboys are set up to win the NFC East, and said they're voting for Javonte Williams as Comeback Player of the Year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I keep saying the Ravens can go on a run. It starts now.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Week 8’s Top 5 Games, plus 2-Time Oscar Nominee Michael Shannon In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Dallas Cowboys to win the division“the Cowboys are set up. They're set up to win this division.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants“If they win this game, they're four three and one while the Eagles take on the Giants. I'm not expecting that to be the upset.”
  3. 3Baltimore Ravens to beat Bears“I keep saying the e Ravens can go on a run. It starts now. It starts now, and it starts against the Bears team that's won four in a row”
  4. 4Javonte Williams to win Comeback Player of the Year“Javonte Williams has shown up in a way you didn't see coming. Comeback player of the year. Get familiar... I'm still voting for him.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dallas Cowboys to win the division1Division Winners—0100−161
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Baltimore Ravens to beat Bears3Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Javonte Williams to win Comeback Player of the Year4Award PicksChristian McCaffrey won000
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled5075

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.61difficulty−161skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −161
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.61
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (76%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Bears

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Ravens by 2.5 · favorite pick, Ravens 57%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    16-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Award PicksJavonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    Javonte Williams to win Comeback Player of the Year

    What happenedChristian McCaffrey woncalled Javonte Williams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Javonte Williams
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Christian McCaffrey
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 75

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.