Colin Cowherd· Nov 19, 2025
Cowherd ran a hypothetical playoff bracket based on the current standings, picking Denver as the AFC's No. 1 seed and predicting a Rams win over Denver in the Super Bowl. He also picked winners in every hypothetical playoff game.
“Rams over Denver again. I get the veteran quarterback, two great defenses.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
15 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 1 playoff pick, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 54.8 out of 100, against 19.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 19, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Jags
“I would take the Patriots at home to beat the Jags in the wild card round”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 22.92+60.81 skillHow this was scored
- note:
- these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
- skill:
- 60.81
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- ceiling:
- 66.67
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 22.92
- opponent:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- 14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- right opponent:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- picked won aplayoff game:
- yes
- picked reached the playoffs:
- yes
- opponent reached the playoffs:
- yes
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldDenver BroncosNov 19, 2025
Denver Broncos to take the top seed
“Denver get to buy as a number one seed. I think that will be the case.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 139
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (visitor)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesNov 19, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Seattle
“I would take the Eagles off of by beating Seattle.”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 22.92+14.47 skillHow this was scored
- note:
- these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
- skill:
- 14.47
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- ceiling:
- 66.67
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 22.92
- opponent:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- 14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- right opponent:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- picked won aplayoff game:
- no
- picked reached the playoffs:
- yes
- opponent reached the playoffs:
- yes
- Conference ChampionsDenver BroncosNov 19, 2025
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
“Now Patriots Broncos. I'm taking Denver... Denver to the super Bowl.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+69.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 69.5
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
- Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsNov 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“Rams Philly game of the year in the playoffs. I would take the Rams.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+69.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 69.5
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 19, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Colts
“Colts Patriots, Daniel Jones, regression, cold Weather. I'm going to take New England.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 22.92+60.81 skillHow this was scored
- note:
- these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
- skill:
- 60.81
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- ceiling:
- 66.67
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 22.92
- opponent:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- 14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- right opponent:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- picked won aplayoff game:
- yes
- picked reached the playoffs:
- yes
- opponent reached the playoffs:
- no
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 19, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay
“I would take the Bears in an ugly, windy, cold, low scoring game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-139 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- -139
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsNov 19, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to beat Chargers
“I would take the Colts at home over the charge, a dependable run game and O line”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 38-24
- skill:
- 139
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“We get to the Super Bowl. Rams over Denver again.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 19, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“I think Baltimore is going to make their way in.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 19, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Pittsburgh
“I would take in the wild card round Buffalo to beat Pittsburgh, even though it's at Pittsburgh”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 26-7
- skill:
- 139
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 19, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Tampa
“Let's go wildcard Seattle Tampa, with the Eagles getting the buy. I take Seattle.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 38-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
“Take the Rams to win convincingly.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 139
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 19, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Buffalo
“we go to the divisional round, I would take Denver over Buffalo”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Niners
“Niners at the Rams... I think it's a Rams have a better overall roster.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.