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Matthew Yglesias· Sep 23, 2026

Yglesias says New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte is comfortably headed for re-election despite a bad national climate for Republicans.

“New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte, who is cruising to re-election in a state Kamala Harris won despite a terrible national political climate.”

published in writing · Slow Boring · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Race WinnersSep 23, 2026

    “I would forget Trump and look at New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte, who is cruising to re-election in a state Kamala Harris won despite a terrible national political climate.”

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.