Skip to main content

Michael IrvinSep 5, 2026

Irvin went game-by-game through the Cowboys' 2026 schedule and predicted a 13-4 finish, with losses to Houston, Philadelphia (Week 7), Seattle and the Giants in Week 17, and a season sweep of Washington.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

5 of 12calls landed5 hits · 7 misses · 6 waiting
41.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 12 calls
41.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
14Games calledeveryone’s picks below
6Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael Irvin said

"13-4, y'all!"
Michael Irvin, the lead quote
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Michael Irvin Gives Game-By-Game & Final Record Predictions For Cowboys' 2026 Season
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 5
  2. PlayedSep 13–Nov 8
  3. GradedSep 15–Nov 8

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks5075
Season Win Totals0001
All5076

How each call scored

18 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 41.7 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks5 hits · 7 misses · 5 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to beat Indianapolis Colts

    “Week 9 at Indianapolis Colts: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 27–23Cowboys at Colts
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “Week 8 vs. Arizona Cardinals: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cardinals 33–30Cardinals at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Dallas Cowboys

    “Week 7 at Philadelphia Eagles: L”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Dallas Cowboys to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    “Week 12 vs. Philadelphia Eagles: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Dallas Cowboys to beat Green Bay Packers

    “Week 6 at Green Bay Packers: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    “Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Buccaneers 24–16Buccaneers at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    24-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Houston Texans to beat Dallas Cowboys

    “Week 4 at Houston Texans: L”

    Houston Texans

    Cowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    34-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Dallas Cowboys to beat Baltimore Ravens

    “Week 3 vs. Baltimore Ravens: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Ravens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington Commanders

    “Week 2 vs. Washington Commanders: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington Commanders

    “Week 18 at Washington Commanders: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. New York Giants to beat Dallas Cowboys

    “Week 17 vs. New York Giants: L”

    New York Giants

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Dallas Cowboys to beat New York Giants

    “Week 1 at New York Giants: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Dallas Cowboys to beat Tennessee Titans

    “Week 11 vs. Tennessee Titans: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Dallas Cowboys to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    “Week 16 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  15. Dallas Cowboys to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “Week 10 vs. San Francisco 49ers: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  16. Seattle Seahawks to beat Dallas Cowboys

    “Week 13 at Seattle Seahawks: L”

    Seattle Seahawks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  17. Dallas Cowboys to beat Los Angeles Rams

    “Week 15 at Los Angeles Rams: W”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to finish with 13 wins

    “Irvin has the Cowboys finishing with a 13-4 record overall, with two of those losses coming against divisional opponents.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.