Tyler Sullivan· Oct 29, 2026
Sullivan expects the Colts to reduce Jonathan Taylor's workload and give backup Seth McGowan more carries ahead of the trade deadline, predicts Lamar Jackson returns without rust and leads Baltimore to a road win over Buffalo, sees T.J. Hockenson scoring twice against Detroit, forecasts a breakout for rookie Antonio Williams, and picks Atlanta to upset Tampa Bay and take first place in the NFC South.
“I can see Lamar Jackson showing little to no rust in his return and possibly even leading the Ravens to a road win in Buffalo.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Seth McGowan · 2026 season3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 and 2. Tyler Sullivan said 2. the room's median is 2. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Panthers at Packers 26 calls
- Falcons at Buccaneers 15 calls
- Ravens at Bills 23 calls
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensOct 29, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills
“I can see Lamar Jackson showing little to no rust in his return and possibly even leading the Ravens to a road win in Buffalo.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 10-36
- skill:
- −161
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%.
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 29, 2026
Atlanta Falcons to beat Buccaneers
“With an upset win and a Packers victory on Thursday night, the 4-4 Falcons (2-1 in the NFC South) would be in first in the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 0-16
- skill:
- −161
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%.
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 29, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Panthers
“Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite at home, so the odds suggest that the Panthers will fall in primetime and drop to 3-4 on the year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%.
T.J. Hockenson to record 2 receiving tds
“I wouldn't be shocked if he finds paydirt twice in this advantageous matchup.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Availability CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensOct 29, 2026
“Lamar Jackson is set to make his return to the field on Sunday against the Bills after missing the previous three games with an ankle injury... Look for Jackson to have a thunderous return in Week 8.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsSeth McGowanIndianapolis ColtsOct 29, 2026
Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Indy won't outright bench Taylor, but I think it'll start giving backup running back Seth McGowan more work.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonHit · 100Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance.
- Parker HurleyTrade and Signing Calls · Jessie BatesMiss · 0Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.
- Conor OrrGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Orr picks Seattle to beat Arizona.