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Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 24, 2025

Schrager revisits the top-10 prospect list they published entering the 2024 NFL Combine, running it back from 10 to 1 and defending the ordering.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

38Miss · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
37.5This callout of 100
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

Good Morning Football Trigger's top ten prospects entering the Combine.
Peter Schrager’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Monday Hour 2: Stafford Future, Combine Standouts, and HBCU Legacy Bowl
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 37.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Top Player Lists

    “So every year I do my top ten prospects heading into the Combine. This was the list last year this day, Monday of Combine Week... Number ten... Nate Wiggins out of Clemson... I had Brock Bowers at number nine... Number eight... Tallyesci Fuaga out of Oregon State... Number seven with Malik Neighbors... I had him number six [Roma Doonza]... Last year I had Drake May. Drake May had five... Number four... I had Jaden Daniels... Number three was a Notre Dame boy... Joe allt... Number two. I had Marvin Harrison Junior... And then number one one overall going into the combine, I had Caleb Williams”

    VerdictMiss
    37.5Miss · naive 50
    37.5this call50a naive guess−12.5worse than naive1difficulty−12.5skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −12.5
    placed:
    8
    season:
    2024
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    37.5
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    OT 2: 0, WR 3: 25, QB 3: 75
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
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More top player lists

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.