Rich Eisen· Sep 19, 2025
Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and he leaned Steelers over the Patriots.
“I think the Bills have an opportunity to have the best record in the NFL this year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 34.8 out of 100, against 54.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 19, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“More likely, team that were surprised at their start to make the playoffs... The o and two Chiefs or the two and o Colts... I'll take the Chiefs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 19, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Vikings
“Jake Browning, baby. And it's gonna start this weekend, and the Bengals are gonna be three and o.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-48
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 19, 2025
New York Jets to beat Bucks
“Oh, and two team more likely to score an upset road win, Saints or Jets? I'll take the Jets... And they could go down to Tampa and go get, you know, their their old coach... But I'll I'll go Jets.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 27-29
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 19, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat New England
“One and one Pittsburgh. At 1 And 1 New England... I'm leaning towards the Steelers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 21-14
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Team Draft Slot CallsMiami DolphinsSep 19, 2025
Miami Dolphins to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)
“But the Dolphins look like a team picking in the top five.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 70.71+5.92 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIA
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 13 the year before
- skill:
- 5.92
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 70.71
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- picking in the top five (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBuffalo BillsSep 19, 2025
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
“I'll go Bills finish with the NFL's best record because I pointed out in our number one... I think the Bills have an opportunity to have the best record in the NFL this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.