Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled

62.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

5.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 3Settlednone still waiting

#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks, and I'm going Jackson Smith and Jigba as the Super Bowl MVP.

Danny Parkins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: First Things First (podcast)
The episode: Super Bowl LX preview, Matthew Stafford wins MVP, 2026 HOF Class, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidFeb 6
GradedAug 14–Oct 9

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl MVP“I'm going Jackson Smith and Jigba as the Super Bowl MVP. If it's a relatively low scoring game, but he has the lion's share of the production”
2Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks ... So I just believe they're the better team.”
3Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 16“I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl MVP¹	Award Picks	Kenneth Walker III won	0	0	0
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl²	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	100	0	+100
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 16³	Score Predictions	—	88.1	16.73	+71.36
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled			62.7	5.6

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 62.7 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Award Picks Jaxon Smith-Njigba Seattle Seahawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl MVP
What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Jaxon Smith-Njigba
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
super_bowl_mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
season:
2025
who won:
Kenneth Walker III
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Super Bowl Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 16
VerdictHit
88.1Hit · naive 16.73
88.1this call16.73a naive guess71.37better than naive1difficulty+71.36skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 11) and fewer points (43).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
71.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
11
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
62.7naive 5.6