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John Middlekauff· Nov 2, 2026

Reacting to Week 8, Middlekauff said the Giants would blow out the Eagles next week if J.J. keeps playing well, suggested Jacksonville could rout a Lamar-less Ravens team on Thursday night, and argued the Jets' stockpile of first-round picks will likely include two selections inside the top five.

“If he does, they will smoke the Eagles. They will destroy them.”

said on air or in an interview · 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New York Giants to beat Eagles

    “And next week they play the Giants who... I think you still have to question, is J.J. just going to play like that continuously? If he does, they will smoke the Eagles. They will destroy them.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3 · favorite pick, Giants 59%.

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Ravens

    “We have a good Thursday night game. Jacksonville at the Ravens. That would have been good if Lamar was playing, but that's a tough spot for an undrafted free agent. So this has to set the tone. Jacksonville might kill them in that game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).

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  • New York Jets to pick “Definitely two of them could be in the top five” (picks 1–5)

    “The Jets have three first-round picks this year... when the dust settles, those picks could be like one, two, and three. Definitely two of them could be in the top five.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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