Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 9, 2026
Sherman picked Seattle to beat New England 28-17 in the opener, ran through score picks for the rest of the week one slate (49ers, Cowboys, Bills, Bears, Vikings, Colts, Broncos), said the Seahawks would also beat the Cardinals, Commanders and Chargers, backed Dallas to win its division, and predicted Christian Gonzalez's deal would come in barely above Devon Witherspoon's.
Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Richard Sherman said
I got Seattle 28-17.
- Where it was said
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- The Richard Sherman Podcast - Week 1 NFL PREDICTIONS w/ Julian Edelman: Patriots vs. Seahawks, 49ers vs. Rams, Cowboys
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 9
- PlayedSep 9–Oct 4
- GradedSep 11–Oct 5
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Score Predictions | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
13 checkable claims — 8 score predictions, 3 game outcome picks, 1 division winner and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 59.5 out of 100, against 48.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game Outcome Picks2 hits · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
- Seahawks 30–23Chargers at Seahawks100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 23-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Commanders 33–31Seahawks at Commanders0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 31-33
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“And if things go the way I think they will, and they beat the Patriots, they steamroll the Cardinals and Commanders, they beat the Chargers at home”
Seahawks 31–7Seahawks at Cardinals100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 31-7
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Score Predictions2 hits · 4 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
- Chiefs 31–10called Broncos by 8 · lost by 2119.05Miss
19.05 − 51.93 naive = −32.88 × 2 difficulty = −65.77 skill
Closing line (Sep 14): Chiefs by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 21–13 calls a Broncos win (by 8; the line gave the Broncos 46%) and fewer points (34).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- −65.77
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 19.05
- baseline:
- 51.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 0.81
- predicted margin:
- 8
Buffalo Bills 20 — Houston 14
“I got Buffalo 20 to 14. I think Josh Allen overcomes his defense enough to, to pull out a win.”
Bills 36–31called Bills by 6 · won by 597.62Hit97.62 − 36.83 naive = 60.79 × 2 difficulty = +121.59 skill
Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Bills win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 36-31
- skill:
- 121.59
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 36.83
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −0.53
- predicted margin:
- 6
Dallas Cowboys 31 — New York Giants 21
“I think Dallas wins this game. We'll give them 31 points. ... 31-21.”
Giants 28–20called Cowboys by 10 · lost by 845.24Close45.24 − 79.68 naive = −34.44 × 2 difficulty = −68.89 skill
Closing line (Sep 13): Cowboys by 3, total 47.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (52).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- −68.89
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 79.68
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −0.53
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Vikings 39–22called Vikings by 3 · won by 1766.67Close
66.67 − 58.25 naive = 8.42 × 2 difficulty = +16.83 skill
Closing line (Sep 13): Vikings by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 22-39
- skill:
- 16.83
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 58.25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −0.53
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Bears 59–37called Bears by 7 · won by 2264.29Close
64.29 − 0 naive = 64.29 × 2 difficulty = +128.57 skill
Closing line (Sep 13): Bears by 3, total 47.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Bears win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 59-37
- skill:
- 128.57
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 64.29
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −0.53
- predicted margin:
- 7
Indianapolis Colts 23 — Baltimore Ravens 17
“Let's go with Indiana and the Jones and the Colts. We'll go with 23-17 Indianapolis.”
Ravens 41–23called Colts by 6 · lost by 1821.43Miss21.43 − 5.87 naive = 15.56 × 2 difficulty = +31.11 skill
Closing line (Sep 13): Ravens by 3, total 48.5 · this 23–17 calls a Colts win (by 6; the line gave the Colts 41%) and fewer points (40).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 41-23
- skill:
- 31.11
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 21.43
- baseline:
- 5.87
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −0.53
- predicted margin:
- 6
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Los Angeles Rams 24
“I got San Francisco 24-27, or 27-24.”
49ers 27–7called 49ers by 3 · won by 2059.52Close59.52 − 0 naive = 59.52 × 2 difficulty = +119.05 skill
Closing line (Sep 10): Rams by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 27–24 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers about 1 in 3 (34%)) and more points (51).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 27-7
- skill:
- 119.05
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 59.52
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- −8.5
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Seahawks 13–10called Seahawks by 11 · won by 380.95Hit
80.95 − 100 naive = −19.05 × 2 difficulty = −38.1 skill
Closing line (Sep 9): Seahawks by 3, total 44.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 11) and more points (45).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- −38.1
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 3
- predicted margin:
- 11
Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Christian Gonzalez to move to New England Patriots
“I don't think it's going to be much more than what Witherspoon got. I think, you know, whether it's $100,000 more or whatever the case may be, it's going to be barely more than what he got.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Division Winners1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“For those of you that missed our NFC prediction and preview episode, Richard's got the Cowboys winning the division.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on each- Patriots at SeahawksSeahawks 13Patriots 1027 calls →
- 49ers at Rams49ers 27Rams 735 calls →
- Ravens at ColtsRavens 41Colts 2320 calls →
- Bills at TexansBills 36Texans 3134 calls →
- Bears at PanthersBears 59Panthers 3723 calls →
- Packers at VikingsVikings 39Packers 2235 calls →
- Cowboys at GiantsGiants 28Cowboys 2032 calls →
- Broncos at ChiefsChiefs 31Broncos 1042 calls →
- Seahawks at CardinalsSeahawks 31Cardinals 714 calls →
- Seahawks at CommandersCommanders 33Seahawks 3149 calls →
- Chargers at SeahawksSeahawks 30Chargers 2326 calls →
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.