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John Middlekauff#48 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 24, 2025

Middlecoff predicts Daniel Jones leads the Colts to the playoffs with nine or ten wins, that Zac Taylor's Bengals will fire them and have a new coach in 2026, and that the Patriots make the playoffs. They also expect Jackson Dart to be inserted as the Giants' starter early and thinks the Giants win only four or five games, while believing Josh Allen will win a Super Bowl.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 7calls landed5 hits · 2 misses · 2 waiting
68.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
64.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 9Settled2 still waiting
#48John Middlekauff’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Middlekauff said

Daniel Jones leads the Colts to the playoffs.
John Middlekauff, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 1 - Bold Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Depth Chart Calls2000
Season Win Totals2000
Playoff Picks1010
Super Bowl Picks0010
Surprise Team Calls0002
All5022

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 2 playoff picks, 2 season win totals, 2 surprise team calls and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 68.6 out of 100, against 64.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Depth Chart Calls2 hitsShow ▸
  1. Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart

    “So I would expect We talked about this yesterday. Jackson dart to be inserted much earlier than later.”

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    “This race is over. He's going to be the starting quarterback.”

    Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals2 hitsShow ▸
  1. Indianapolis Colts to finish with 9 wins

    “Again, they're just looking nine to ten wins. I'm not talking twelve thirteen.”

    Indianapolis Colts

    8called 9
    80Hit

    80 − 95 naive = −15 × 2 difficulty = −30 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    IND
    naive:
    8.25
    skill:
    −30
    what happened:
    8
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    95
    they said:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. New York Giants to finish with 4 wins

    “This is a this tough schedule. Colling Thiss got four or five wins written all over it.”

    New York Giants

    4called 4
    100Hit

    100 − 65 naive = 35 × 2 difficulty = +70 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    70
    what happened:
    4
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    65
    they said:
    4
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸
  1. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “Speaking of the Patriots, I think they make the playoffs.”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs

    “Daniel Jones leads the Colts to the playoffs.”

    Indianapolis Colts

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    IND
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    “I believe that josh Allen will get a Super Bowl ring for it's all said and done.”

    Buffalo Bills

    SEA won itpicked BUF
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls2 waitingShow ▸
  1. New England Patriots to beat expectations

    “I like the Patriots to be playing some games in January, like old times.”

    New England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Indianapolis Colts to beat expectations

    “You're gonna think I'm nuts. Daniel Jones leads the Colts to the playoffs.”

    Indianapolis Colts

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.